Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.090601 0.101181 0.112131 0.124282 0.137359 0.150984 0.166222
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.071193 0.086481 0.103235 0.122830 0.144990 0.169146 0.197339
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.058507 0.076859 0.098046 0.123994 0.154591 0.189202 0.230986
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.048273 0.068355 0.092702 0.123790 0.161815 0.206211 0.261335
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.043519 0.065680 0.093663 0.130618 0.177141 0.232795 0.303378
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039784 0.063667 0.094956 0.137519 0.192450 0.259522 0.346102
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034466 0.058736 0.091788 0.138143 0.199482 0.275916 0.376293
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028885 0.052659 0.086388 0.135197 0.201425 0.285625 0.398069
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.026619 0.051157 0.087081 0.140300 0.213861 0.308757 0.437018
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.024177 0.049049 0.086635 0.143629 0.223844 0.328785 0.472261
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021707 0.046565 0.085363 0.145572 0.231822 0.346204 0.504318
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.019368 0.043991 0.083688 0.146716 0.238569 0.361981 0.534374
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.019060 0.045081 0.087994 0.157205 0.259253 0.397571 0.592141
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016595 0.041978 0.085419 0.157269 0.265180 0.413469 0.624346
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014820 0.039917 0.084355 0.159533 0.274299 0.433914 0.663048
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012910 0.037286 0.082080 0.159710 0.280270 0.450054 0.696168
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012470 0.037630 0.084933 0.168122 0.298649 0.483840 0.753833
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012054 0.037957 0.087738 0.176503 0.317132 0.518040 0.812509
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010674 0.035900 0.086032 0.177302 0.323982 0.535682 0.848400
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008943 0.032701 0.081912 0.173794 0.324006 0.543438 0.870561
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008476 0.032509 0.083461 0.179922 0.339096 0.573138 0.923759
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007823 0.031728 0.083788 0.183913 0.350876 0.598167 0.970670
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007070 0.030542 0.083200 0.186239 0.360018 0.619425 1.012475